🔄 What is Reversal Trading?
Reversal trading involves identifying when a trend is about to reverse direction. Unlike trend following, reversal traders try to catch the exact turning point, entering at the top of uptrends or bottom of downtrends.
Introduction to Reversal Trading
Reversal trading is a counter-trend strategy that aims to profit from trend changes. It's more challenging than trend following but can be highly profitable when executed correctly with proper risk management.
Why Trade Reversals?
- High Profit Potential: Catch the entire new trend from the start
- Clear Entry Points: Specific reversal patterns
- Works in All Markets: Trending and ranging
- Early Entry: Get in before the crowd
- Combines Well: Works with price action and technical indicators
Types of Reversals
1. Trend Reversals
A major trend changes direction:
- Uptrend to Downtrend: Bullish reversal
- Downtrend to Uptrend: Bearish reversal
2. Pullback Reversals
Price reverses during a pullback within a larger trend.
3. Range Reversals
Price reverses at support or resistance in a ranging market.
How to Identify Reversals
Key Reversal Signals
-
Candlestick Patterns: Reversal patterns like:
- Hammer
- Shooting Star
- Engulfing Patterns
- Doji
-
Divergence: Price makes new highs/lows but indicators don't
- RSI Divergence: Most common
- MACD Divergence: Strong signal
-
Support/Resistance: Price bounces from key levels
-
Volume: Decreasing volume in trend, increasing on reversal
Reversal Trading Rules
Bullish Reversal Setup
- Identify Downtrend: Clear lower highs and lower lows
- Look for Reversal Signal:
- Bullish candlestick pattern at support
- RSI divergence (price lower, RSI higher)
- Volume increase
- Wait for Confirmation: Next candle confirms reversal
- Enter Long: On confirmation
- Stop Loss: Below the reversal low
- Take Profit: At next resistance or 2:1 risk/reward
Bearish Reversal Setup
- Identify Uptrend: Clear higher highs and higher lows
- Look for Reversal Signal:
- Bearish candlestick pattern at resistance
- RSI divergence (price higher, RSI lower)
- Volume increase
- Wait for Confirmation: Next candle confirms reversal
- Enter Short: On confirmation
- Stop Loss: Above the reversal high
- Take Profit: At next support or 2:1 risk/reward
Best Reversal Patterns
1. Hammer (Bullish)
- Location: At support in downtrend
- Signal: Potential bullish reversal
- Confirmation: Next candle closes higher
2. Shooting Star (Bearish)
- Location: At resistance in uptrend
- Signal: Potential bearish reversal
- Confirmation: Next candle closes lower
3. Engulfing Patterns
- Bullish Engulfing: Green candle engulfs red candle (bullish)
- Bearish Engulfing: Red candle engulfs green candle (bearish)
4. Doji
- Signal: Indecision, potential reversal
- Location: At extremes (support/resistance)
Using Indicators for Reversals
RSI Divergence
Bullish Divergence:
- Price makes lower low
- RSI makes higher low
- = Potential bullish reversal
Bearish Divergence:
- Price makes higher high
- RSI makes lower high
- = Potential bearish reversal
MACD Divergence
Similar to RSI but often stronger signals.
Volume Analysis
- Decreasing Volume: Trend losing strength
- Increasing Volume on Reversal: Confirms reversal
Common Reversal Trading Mistakes
- Trading Too Early: Before confirmation
- Ignoring Trend: Fighting strong trends
- No Stop Loss: Not protecting against failed reversals
- Wrong Timeframe: Using inappropriate charts
- Over-trading: Taking every reversal signal
Reversal Trading Checklist
Before entering a reversal trade:
- [ ] Clear trend identified
- [ ] Reversal signal at key level (support/resistance)
- [ ] Confirmation candle closed
- [ ] Divergence or pattern present
- [ ] Volume confirms reversal
- [ ] Stop loss set
- [ ] Risk/reward ratio at least 1:2
- [ ] Position size calculated using risk management rules
Best Timeframes for Reversal Trading
Day Trading
- Primary: M15, H1
- Confirmation: H4
Swing Trading
- Primary: H4, D1
- Confirmation: W1
Position Trading
- Primary: D1, W1
- Confirmation: MN1
Advanced Reversal Techniques
Multiple Timeframe Confirmation
Confirm reversals on multiple timeframes:
- Entry Timeframe: Identify reversal
- Higher Timeframe: Confirm trend context
- Lower Timeframe: Fine-tune entry
Combining Reversal Signals
Use multiple signals for stronger confirmation:
- Candlestick pattern
- Indicator divergence
- Support/resistance level
- Volume confirmation
Reversal vs Pullback
Reversal: Trend changes direction completely Pullback: Temporary move against trend, then continuation
Key Difference: Reversals change the trend, pullbacks are temporary.
Summary
Reversal trading is a powerful strategy for catching trend changes early. Success requires proper identification of reversal signals, confirmation, and strict risk management.
Key Takeaways:
- Always wait for confirmation
- Use multiple signals
- Trade at key levels (support/resistance)
- Divergence is a strong signal
- Use proper stop losses
- Combine with price action and technical analysis